Japan’s PM Fumio Kishida Cancels Overseas Trip Amid Unprecedented Megaquake Warning
Japan’s Prime Minister Cancels Central Asia Visit Due to Megaquake Alert
Japan’s Prime Minister, Fumio Kishida, has abruptly canceled his planned visit to Central Asia after experts issued an unprecedented warning about the increased risk of a “megaquake” along the Pacific coast. The decision follows a magnitude 7.1 earthquake that struck Japan’s southwestern region on Thursday, raising concerns about a more catastrophic seismic event.
Unprecedented Megaquake Warning from Japan Meteorological Agency
On Thursday, the Japan Meteorological Agency (JMA) issued its first-ever advisory warning of a heightened risk of a massive earthquake along the Nankai Trough. This undersea trough extends 800 kilometers from Shizuoka, west of Tokyo, to the southern tip of Kyushu and has a notorious history of producing devastating earthquakes and tsunamis.
Increased Seismic Risk Along Nankai Trough
The JMA’s advisory does not guarantee an imminent earthquake but stresses that the risk is currently higher than usual. The Nankai Trough has been the source of “megathrust quakes,” which often occur in pairs and have historically caused widespread destruction. The last significant quake in this region occurred in 1707, marking Japan’s second-most powerful earthquake on record.
Kishida’s Decision Amidst Political Challenges
Kishida, who is contending with low approval ratings and an impending leadership challenge within his ruling party, announced the cancellation during a press conference on Friday. He was scheduled to attend a summit with Central Asian leaders and meet the Mongolian president. However, Kishida chose to remain in Japan to manage the situation and prepare for any possible disaster.
Implications of a Megaquake: Potential Devastation
Government experts estimate a 70% to 80% chance of a megaquake, measuring magnitude 8 or 9, occurring along the Nankai Trough within the next 30 years. Such an event could lead to significant casualties, with potential deaths estimated at 300,000 and economic losses as high as $13 trillion.
Public Caution: No Need to Panic, Yet Remain Vigilant
Despite the warnings, geologists Kyle Bradley and Judith A. Hubbard advised the public not to panic. Writing in the Earthquake Insights newsletter, they noted that while the risk of a subsequent earthquake is elevated, it remains relatively low. They did, however, emphasize that the Nankai Trough’s history is a legitimate cause for concern.
